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Guerrilla Warfare

Targeting: An Exercise in Generating Intelligence Requirements

Targeting: An Exercise in Generating Intelligence Requirements

I was talking with a new acquaintance about intelligence support to targeting and why I don’t say much about it or the targeting cycle.  There may not be any good reason why I don’t talk about targeting so we’ll start with some practical homework that exercises the fundamentals of the […]

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One Reason Why Boko Haram Still Exists

One Reason Why Boko Haram Still Exists

One of the reasons why I harp so much on Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) collection is because there are hundreds of millions of intelligence gatherers around the world.  Every blog, every website, every reporter, every newscast, every everything is potentially producing information of Intelligence value.  Our job is to identify […]

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Social Bases and Insurgent Groups

Social Bases and Insurgent Groups

I was sitting at the urgent care doctor’s office on Saturday (I’m fine) when the doc comes in.  I’m reading Networks of Rebellion: Explaining Insurgent Cohesion and Collapse .  He starts to ask me a few questions about how I’m feeling (didn’t ask me about any guns) and glances down […]

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Scorched Earth Policy in Emerging Conflicts

Scorched Earth Policy in Emerging Conflicts

In the last week or two, I posted a link about the most recent terror attack in Chechnya (still part of the Russian Federation).  Both Chechen and Russian leadership are concerned about the hundreds of Chechen fighters who are now returning to Russia after having fought with ISIS.  (This article […]

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Adaptation & Warfare

Adaptation & Warfare

I think one of the least respected and most under-appreciated areas of conflict is the ability to adapt.  We’ve talked before about resistance and insurgent organizations’ ‘sticking power’ because they observed the battlefield, identified the gaps where they can survive, and then stopped doing the things that get them killed. […]

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COMINT and A Note On Intelligence Exploitation

COMINT and A Note On Intelligence Exploitation

(Admin note: I’m writing a weekly column each Thursday over at Forward Observer in a blog called The ACE.  The latest is “Mowing the Grass”: Five Lessons We Can Learn About the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.  Be sure to check out our work over there.) The Grugq (Twitter / Blog — you […]

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Nonattributional Warfare

Nonattributional Warfare

I just read an interesting article entitled, “Epic Landpower Fail,” in which the author, a US Army Major and strategy professor at West Point, makes the point that today all landpower is attributional.  What he means is that landpowers – armies – can be attributed to a specific country.  You […]

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Non-Lethal Targeting: The Case for Hearts and Minds

Non-Lethal Targeting: The Case for Hearts and Minds

Administrivia: We have a few seats left for the Houston and Tampa ICAC.  Email me for more information. Prior to the Gulf War, the national war colleges taught warfighting primarily through two lenses: annihilation and attrition.  We use the entire spectrum of combined arms warfare en masse to annihilate enemy […]

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Targeting and Other Answers

Targeting and Other Answers

I’ve enjoyed participating in Max Velocity’s forum; you can check out the Intelligence thread (Intelligence Support to the Warfighter) here.  I’m gong to respond to two other MVT Forum participants through this post.  The first response has to do with Targeting and the second has to do with the Auxiliary […]

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Che’s Catastrophic Counterintelligence Failures

Che’s Catastrophic Counterintelligence Failures

I’ve never been a huge fan of Che Guevara’s foco theory, which states that a small contingent of guerrillas can start a revolution and build popular support once operations are underway.  There’s too much hill to climb and too many potential missteps; the support is either there or it’s not. […]

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