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“Validated Learning” & Intelligence

“Validated Learning” & Intelligence

I’ve been reading a great book about startups in which the author talks about validated learning.  (As an aside, each of your intelligence preparations should be treated as a startup company.  Instead of input costs you have study time, and instead of revenue you have information.  Is your study time […]

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Soup: Assorted Notes on Chapter Three, Part One

Soup: Assorted Notes on Chapter Three, Part One

First of all, Fleming comes on BBC America.  It’s a great show.  Just started, so catch it on Wednesday nights (caught the re-run of Episode One), or anytime at the website.  I’ve always been mesmerized by Bond flicks, so if you’re a fellow fan, Fleming certainly won’t let you down.  […]

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How Russia Would Exploit Snowden

How Russia Would Exploit Snowden

PREFACE: The Snowden Op does matter. We know what our government is doing; that definitely matters. But this post is more concerned with what we can learn from these events, and should not be understood as a distraction against the machinations of the regime.  We’re looking at MICE/RC motivators. The […]

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Running the Numbers: Syria

Running the Numbers: Syria

This evening, I was reading over the transcript of the Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on national security threats.  Chief among their terrorism concerns was the situation in Syria, where Director of National Intelligence (DNI) James Clapper estimated that the number of fighters in Syria ranged from 75,000 to 110,000; 26,000 […]

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Judging Single Source Information

Judging Single Source Information

Several people requested that I start a collection of links where I find Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) information.  I’ll include a tab on the menu and start linking some pages for you. I briefly took part in a discussion on WRSA a week or two ago about the topic of […]

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Tarantino’s Canary Trap

Tarantino’s Canary Trap

I read this article linked from Drudge this morning, and thought that there was some intelligence value in it. From Deadspin: Learning today that his script The Hateful Eight leaked after he gave it to a small circle of actors, Quentin Tarantino tells me that he’s so upset that he […]

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Ukrainian Civil War and Intelligence Requirements

Ukrainian Civil War and Intelligence Requirements

1730 UPDATE:  For those who so desire, here’s a decent map for battle tracking (download; right-click, save as – here).  If you fill it out and send it back to me, then I’ll publish them in another blog post.  The best submission will get a free subscription to Forward Observer. […]

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Implications of Cell Phones in Ukrainian Near-Civil War

Implications of Cell Phones in Ukrainian Near-Civil War

I’ve been loosely following developments in Ukraine, and have watched protests slowly evolve into riots and then real fighting between protesters and security forces.  There’s a very real possibility that Ukraine is in a civil war.  Parts of Kyiv (the capital; Ukrainian spelling, not Russian) look like something out of […]

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CATI Armor

CATI Armor

I added C.A.T.I. (Come And Take It) Armor as a Guerrillamerica sponsor.  They’ve supported our projects (MM, 3M, FO) from Day One, and they also happen to make solid body armor at great prices.  If you couldn’t tell from the name, CATI Armor is a Patriot business as well.  I […]

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The Analytical Leap

The Analytical Leap

An expanded version of this article will appear in the Spring issue of Forward Observer. Coming up, we were always told that our analytic conclusions would never be criticized as long as our logic and reasoning were sound.  The result was that our logic and reasoning were always criticized, and […]

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